TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f7d…bf77backed Over45c5,112$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa745…c852backed Over45c5,044$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ba…f224backed Over45c4,866$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2118…0035backed Over45c4,821$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f05…cf26backed Over45c4,811$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…6b0abacked Over45c4,452$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527d…1d11backed Over45c4,421$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd185…371ebacked Over45c3,958$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf162…bc1dbacked Over45c3,867$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d97…21dbbacked Under55c3,811$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x337c…5b4bbacked Over45c3,809$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.05650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51e…ea39backed Over45c3,738$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d3…bf40backed Under55c3,511$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa4…7e7ebacked Over45c3,210$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…e7edbacked Under55c2,854$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…7276backed Under55c2,610$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c2,451$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6289…faf5backed Under55c1,865$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e18…1044backed Under5c1,714$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f3…120cbacked Under55c1,707$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over44c1,629$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,598$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf328…4ad1backed Under55c1,547$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under55c1,517$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…547fbacked Under55c1,495$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbff…ec04backed Under55c1,493$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e3…f749backed Under55c1,462$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1241…5ffdbacked Under55c1,447$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…1d6bbacked Under55c1,439$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd9…bf84backed Under55c1,438$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabe…b7f8backed Under55c1,414$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87c…e05fbacked Under55c1,357$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb988…7ef3backed Under55c1,320$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x280f…60d2backed Under55c1,304$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Under53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6115749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5194…84d6backed Under55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6e…2a22backed Under55c1,296$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c1,258$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.33,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e58…80c1backed Under55c1,248$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1454…7581backed Under55c1,235$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4578…85d2backed Under55c1,213$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a49…7442backed Under55c1,189$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over33c1,183$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4128842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45e…42d3backed Under55c1,162$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc835…2556backed Under55c1,156$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ce…65c1backed Under55c1,124$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…ae73backed Under55c1,089$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3648…9d93backed Under55c1,073$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb673…59b7backed Under55c1,063$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…9541backed Under55c1,012$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7357…6e08backed Under55c963$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Over46c960$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.64353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3da…300dbacked Under55c876$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…70a0backed Under55c864$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under56c821$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2411358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ad…5969backed Under55c817$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under64c702.14$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c693.31$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under63c510$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.511945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b68…fd16backed Under55c510$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd85…0230backed Under55c401$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c394.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c393.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.193,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c350$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over44c335.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.72,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311436.8%42 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…8d0abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0d…2d4cbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad4…9ab8backed Under55c298$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under52c249.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7922953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Under49c228.78$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.972864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c216.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f1…9ab6backed Over51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c199.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c191.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under57c189.47$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…3a38backed Under55c146$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under54c145.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.532,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over52c143.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.511,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Under66c138.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.714141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…5f54backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under56c119$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.365455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822633.2%75 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over45c89.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under57c87.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Under65c81.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Under69c73.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c72.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under57c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6737959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.