TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c7,052$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.1587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c6,859$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Under51c6,149$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.865749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…3a38backed Over47c5,467$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad4…9ab8backed Over47c5,280$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb988…7ef3backed Over47c5,140$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ee…ae73backed Over47c5,122$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ce…65c1backed Over47c4,912$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4578…85d2backed Over47c4,902$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x280f…60d2backed Over47c4,528$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.16650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over51c4,458$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc101…1d6bbacked Over47c2,855$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87c…e05fbacked Under53c2,652$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over49c2,582$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26525452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1241…5ffdbacked Under53c2,254$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf162…bc1dbacked Under53c2,225$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd185…371ebacked Under53c2,216$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x337c…5b4bbacked Over47c2,203$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.41650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…9541backed Under53c2,102$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.945100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa45e…42d3backed Under53c2,015$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51e…ea39backed Under53c2,011$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2118…0035backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…6b0abacked Under53c1,983$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c1,852$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.442,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…70a0backed Under53c1,843$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c1,787$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…e7edbacked Under53c1,776$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c1,713$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,647$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d97…21dbbacked Under53c1,624$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…0b2ebacked Under52c1,606$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7711637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6e…2a22backed Under53c1,524$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5194…84d6backed Under53c1,521$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc835…2556backed Under53c1,489$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1454…7581backed Under53c1,432$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7d…bf77backed Under53c1,402$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3648…9d93backed Under53c1,346$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a49…7442backed Under53c1,265$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,216$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.732,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa745…c852backed Under53c1,211$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e58…80c1backed Under53c1,197$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d6c…a2bebacked Over47c1,181$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5407…547fbacked Under53c1,094$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,077$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c1,048$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e3…f749backed Under53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over32c1,014$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under78c987.56$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3232952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbd…ac56backed Under53c976$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…a81bbacked Over47c951$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb321…ecf0backed Under53c813$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…d288backed Under53c780$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c741$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd1…5f06backed Under53c730$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over73c681.37$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e54…44f0backed Over47c656$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd2a…716abacked Over47c645$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbff…ec04backed Under53c601$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c598.5$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabe…b7f8backed Under53c588$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under50c577.31$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1610840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under52c498$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over38c482.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.924846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over38c416$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.795550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under28c378.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.513,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c364$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.282,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under57c351.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under53c271.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Under58c234.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.857353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over47c230.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.568043.8%35 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9766143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd30…4163backed Over55c199.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over47c198.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9426150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c192$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.791,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under50c163.48$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.291,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c148.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over43c146.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.212,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c119.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over45c96.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.611,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under45c96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c74.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…c64cbacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.084461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1830348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Under55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.184963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.023948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.563259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over62c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.