TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Francesco Passaro vs Adolfo Vallejo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vallejoof Passaro, Vallejo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Passaro5c12,594$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.751,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Vallejo60c10,193$6,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.379855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Passaro40c4,999$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Passaro32c3,941$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.123,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a39…9e71backed Vallejo60c2,994$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.441070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…92b4backed Vallejo59c2,940$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.41080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Passaro41c2,436$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.661,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Passaro41c1,876$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.582,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Passaro23c1,504$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8211123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Passaro41c1,498$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.791,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Passaro21c1,472$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Passaro7c1,350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Vallejo61c1,283$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.091,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Passaro40c1,152$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.091,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Passaro42c978.71$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Passaro43c937$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Passaro23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Passaro26c794.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Vallejo61c549.14$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0918863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Passaro24c499.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5203…0312backed Vallejo59c477$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.571872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Passaro16c459.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7411745.3%53 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Passaro31c459.39$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passaro17c441.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.657,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Vallejo57c435.41$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2343051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Passaro12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Passaro40c414.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6222747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Passaro21c399$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Passaro42c395$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Passaro20c382$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.921,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Passaro40c379.81$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1740744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Passaro21c350$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Passaro42c330.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Vallejo61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.878246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Passaro40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Passaro41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.21,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Vallejo60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8835268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Vallejo58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5254348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Passaro20c210$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Vallejo59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8236161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Vallejo60c198$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Passaro41c187.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8268951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Passaro37c167.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Vallejo61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Passaro21c148$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Passaro42c145.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2724454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Vallejo77c143.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Vallejo59c140.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.595761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Vallejo77c129.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.081,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Passaro18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Vallejo61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.751,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Passaro41c113.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.057,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Passaro24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Vallejo61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Passaro24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Passaro42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4246649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Vallejo60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4026247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Passaro40c95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Passaro40c74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7726244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Passaro35c73.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.477521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Vallejo56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Passaro40c69.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.818133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Vallejo58c67.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.431,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Vallejo58c64.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0720542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Passaro40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Passaro20c51.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1961953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Vallejo59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Passaro42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Passaro22c49.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.974,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Passaro30c47.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9612548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Vallejo72c47.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Vallejo58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Vallejo80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Vallejo59c39.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Passaro35c36.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.763,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Passaro40c35.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3515151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Vallejo55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Vallejo60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3330351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Passaro38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2518020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Vallejo60c28.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3384963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Vallejo59c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6612952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Passaro41c25.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5514828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Vallejo58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Passaro42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Vallejo70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.435554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Vallejo60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Passaro56c18.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Vallejo60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Vallejo72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.926068.3%41 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.