TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes33c6,130$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c4,166$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes35c2,926$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.69100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Yes1c2,839$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8255259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c2,316$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.155,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c2,076$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.343,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c1,839$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No71c1,759$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc41b…e86cbacked Yes24c1,255$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,200$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.461,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes22c1,009$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9929747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6703647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No67c853.98$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.812263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes30c826.22$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.872673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes27c799.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes7c581.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c442.69$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.881,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c386.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6913228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes12c374.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c371.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7980…b49abacked Yes32c339.92$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked No52c319.42$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.836762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No77c304.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.886468.8%44 W · 20 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No70c293$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.99752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes41c245.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9592backed Yes32c236.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes22c232.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.097058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes35c186$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2417436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c183.65$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.461,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No69c176.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.814967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Yes32c168.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes32c159.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.633158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c6…e609backed Yes32c152.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes42c140$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.211334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c116.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes29c115$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2527442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes30c113.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.064560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes35c113$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.178953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No67c102.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6912750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes34c100.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c97.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c94.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No70c89.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa413…9242backed Yes32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No69c72.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.457745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes31c70.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes30c63.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.518026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes29c54.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.759649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…99f7backed Yes41c54.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.093050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked No69c47.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af4…043abacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7ae0backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No62c46.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.468655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c42.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb9…af3cbacked Yes32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes68c39.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No79c37.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.961,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8c…2882backed Yes32c36.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd040…4e6bbacked No72c34.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c33.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105044%22 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed No49c30.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.423647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd085…d971backed Yes48c29.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed No65c24.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.634740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes68c23.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.912464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x206f…ee3dbacked No69c22.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.492,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed No73c16.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…ae82backed No73c16.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No70c14.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53876.3%29 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked No70c14.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked No78c14.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.