Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa865884b568601a8256d4fc96e3e9d35bec78fac2397f976e508019326d1ee0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Darderi | 40c | 25,999$10,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,446.18 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Darderi | 40c | 23,309$9,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cerundolo | 69c | 16,996$11,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 14,869$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490.79 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 12,126$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.87 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo | 65c | 10,455$6,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Darderi | 16c | 10,166$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.56 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Darderi | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Cerundolo | 47c | 9,177$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.51 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Darderi | 50c | 8,970$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.12 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cerundolo | 73c | 6,200$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.91 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e1…10cfbacked Darderi | 53c | 5,953$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Darderi | 46c | 5,787$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Darderi | 20c | 5,179$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Darderi | 53c | 4,756$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 71c | 3,587$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Darderi | 52c | 3,500$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Darderi | 45c | 3,448$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.14 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Darderi | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Darderi | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.33 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Darderi | 21c | 2,979$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.48 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 2,815$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.64 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Darderi | 21c | 2,722$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.01 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Darderi | 49c | 2,675$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.11 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi | 29c | 2,477$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Darderi | 53c | 2,332$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.29 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cerundolo | 65c | 2,309$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.36 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…2b1bbacked Cerundolo | 53c | 2,147$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Darderi | 50c | 2,118$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Cerundolo | 49c | 2,052$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.3 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Darderi | 1c | 2,038$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Darderi | 49c | 2,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cerundolo | 50c | 2,009$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.07 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Cerundolo | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Cerundolo | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Cerundolo | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.76 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Darderi | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Darderi | 22c | 1,811$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Cerundolo | 65c | 1,650$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 48c | 1,605$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Darderi | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Cerundolo | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.97 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cerundolo | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Cerundolo | 79c | 1,260$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Cerundolo | 46c | 1,234$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Darderi | 52c | 996.28$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cerundolo | 66c | 987$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cerundolo | 49c | 971$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Darderi | 55c | 931.39$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.37 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Darderi | 51c | 913$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.63 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…4273backed Darderi | 35c | 878.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Darderi | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Cerundolo | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Cerundolo | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Cerundolo | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Cerundolo | 64c | 693.95$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 650$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Darderi | 31c | 646.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Cerundolo | 67c | 643.67$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 632.82$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Cerundolo | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 66c | 607.05$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Cerundolo | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Darderi | 27c | 556.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Darderi | 15c | 528.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Darderi | 38c | 506.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cerundolo | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked Cerundolo | 75c | 492.93$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Darderi | 38c | 452$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cerundolo | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…075ebacked Cerundolo | 55c | 436.55$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Darderi | 46c | 436.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Darderi | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Darderi | 50c | 421$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 67c | 416.41$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Cerundolo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Cerundolo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Cerundolo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Darderi | 35c | 395.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…8f5fbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cerundolo | 51c | 375$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cerundolo | 48c | 373.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Darderi | 53c | 348.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Darderi | 50c | 314.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Cerundolo | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cerundolo | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Darderi | 25c | 294.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Darderi | 40c | 294.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Darderi | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cerundolo | 50c | 275.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Cerundolo | 49c | 275.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Cerundolo | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…f6dfbacked Darderi | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cerundolo | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed Cerundolo | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Darderi | 53c | 225.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Darderi | 51c | 222.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Darderi | 48c | 209.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Darderi | 51c | 208.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…7b01backed Cerundolo | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs DarderiCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.