TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Kecmanovic, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c7a…7625backed Kecmanovic23c12,879$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kecmanovic11c8,745$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vacherot79c6,155$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Vacherot55c5,670$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.212442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Kecmanovic47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kecmanovic45c4,847$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1811,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot71c4,500$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.0944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Vacherot53c3,847$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.0719835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vacherot54c2,726$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.21,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kecmanovic45c2,494$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.522,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vacherot70c2,482$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kecmanovic36c2,095$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.737,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed Kecmanovic48c2,094$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2f…578fbacked Vacherot76c1,768$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vacherot58c1,734$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.6644754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Vacherot59c1,578$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9613652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Kecmanovic29c1,039$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.647427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Vacherot56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44058639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kecmanovic45c1,000$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Kecmanovic51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kecmanovic30c974.65$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.728,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kecmanovic47c967.29$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.791,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vacherot52c874.93$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.972,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…7102backed Vacherot55c669.09$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kecmanovic16c666$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5626921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Kecmanovic47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kecmanovic42c627$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.271,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Vacherot52c576.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9647639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vacherot45c572.87$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.154,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed Vacherot60c566.78$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Vacherot54c551.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.525860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Kecmanovic19c524.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x849a…44aabacked Vacherot77c520$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Kecmanovic45c507.22$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.251,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kecmanovic38c505.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.551,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Vacherot63c478.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8921843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Kecmanovic45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Kecmanovic31c420.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Vacherot71c420$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Vacherot66c418.57$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4922236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Vacherot53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0910943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Vacherot53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Vacherot45c399.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.996839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kecmanovic41c396.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4334745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd7…215ebacked Vacherot37c386.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Kecmanovic44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vacherot56c357.25$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.511,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kecmanovic28c337.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2727627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Vacherot59c337.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7610862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Kecmanovic18c326.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Kecmanovic48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.693055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kecmanovic22c310.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.692,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Vacherot60c238$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.316150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3346…1cf7backed Kecmanovic14c216$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…0ed3backed Kecmanovic34c205.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Kecmanovic9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d5…1102backed Vacherot54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Vacherot57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8620643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Vacherot35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kecmanovic50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vacherot53c188.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.828952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Kecmanovic32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kecmanovic31c185.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.562,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vacherot54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1937339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kecmanovic21c178.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.681,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Vacherot77c163.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.857365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…81c3backed Vacherot62c160.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.211250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Vacherot73c155.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8721448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Vacherot50c135.63$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.182,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Vacherot60c133.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vacherot65c131.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kecmanovic46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.818548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Kecmanovic12c126.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.233545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Vacherot55c117$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6517840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…dfb9backed Vacherot53c110.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.713167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x614b…2509backed Vacherot53c109.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Kecmanovic20c106.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.384124.4%10 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Kecmanovic47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3537238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Kecmanovic49c102.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Vacherot54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Kecmanovic24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…2728backed Kecmanovic47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Kecmanovic16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Kecmanovic46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…ee68backed Kecmanovic47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kecmanovic34c95.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.776918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Vacherot37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.594930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Vacherot53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kecmanovic43c93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.993644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vacherot58c86.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4773350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Kecmanovic45c84.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.153240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Vacherot62c80.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6415951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Kecmanovic31c80.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8732031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Kecmanovic42c78.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.062445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Vacherot67c71.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.955050%25 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bb…6069backed Kecmanovic42c71.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Vacherot78c70.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Vacherot76c67.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kecmanovic42c65.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9eb…8097backed Kecmanovic16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.