College Football · resolved market
Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a3f497b3343c101608d280b14d7eeaaa5bf11dd4e439482313141320891329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Vanderbilt, Iowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Iowa | 51c | 51,173$26,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,982.78 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 43,787$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Iowa | 57c | 43,727$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,726.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Vanderbilt | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt | 42c | 10,459$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.16 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed Vanderbilt | 53c | 7,582$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa | 56c | 5,956$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.77 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Iowa | 50c | 5,787$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.4 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Vanderbilt | 43c | 5,145$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt | 42c | 4,375$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Iowa | 56c | 3,905$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.46 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vanderbilt | 42c | 3,863$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.53 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 2,495$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.64 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 2,266$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 2,171$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.71 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Iowa | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 1,391$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Iowa | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vanderbilt | 42c | 947.67$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.02 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Iowa | 50c | 694.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vanderbilt | 42c | 568.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Vanderbilt | 44c | 480.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 383.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…c4f6backed Vanderbilt | 53c | 374.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iowa | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Iowa | 52c | 316.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 314.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 303.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt | 45c | 246.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 206.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa | 49c | 205$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Iowa | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 135.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…6a1dbacked Iowa | 49c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked Vanderbilt | 53c | 133.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Iowa | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Iowa | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Iowa | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…753bbacked Iowa | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 81.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…9dbabacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Iowa | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 74.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Iowa | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…5394backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Vanderbilt | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Iowa | 52c | 56.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Iowa | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 51.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Vanderbilt | 51c | 50.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Iowa | 53c | 47.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Vanderbilt | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Iowa | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Vanderbilt | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Iowa | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa | 48c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Vanderbilt | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…8495backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Vanderbilt | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Vanderbilt | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)this page
- Iowa vs. VanderbiltIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H MoneylineIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5Over won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5Over won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.