TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowaof Vanderbilt, Iowa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Vanderbilt50c23,800$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,900933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Iowa50c18,495$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,247.693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa54c4,433$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.392,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Vanderbilt42c2,747$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.69635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Iowa53c1,654$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.235345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Iowa50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt46c1,341$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Iowa54c962.96$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.961428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Iowa52c954$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.924551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Vanderbilt47c877.39$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3765945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa51c799$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5138546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Iowa52c679.17$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Vanderbilt45c611.8$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.295339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Iowa53c431.77$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.775750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Vanderbilt49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Iowa52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Iowa58c346.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.558078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc96f…d46bbacked Iowa60c267.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.184344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Iowa56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Vanderbilt47c249.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3628440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Vanderbilt43c242.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5224348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Vanderbilt45c240.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Vanderbilt43c234.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.451040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Vanderbilt47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Iowa51c203.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.923357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Vanderbilt47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9412755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Vanderbilt44c189$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.163435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Iowa54c186.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Vanderbilt47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Iowa53c152.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.572642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eee…bc95backed Iowa58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Iowa54c118.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.611450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Vanderbilt44c118.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7811545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Vanderbilt47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Vanderbilt47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Iowa59c95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Vanderbilt47c94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.182152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Iowa54c78.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.012650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Iowa53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.476966.7%46 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Iowa52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.42per pick51cpaid+85.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Vanderbilt47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Iowa50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Vanderbilt41c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.47837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Iowa52c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Vanderbilt43c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Vanderbilt47c55.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.339954.1%216 W · 183 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Iowa53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Iowa52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Iowa51c51.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9854243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb937…f2c5backed Iowa54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Iowa53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f7…8696backed Vanderbilt50c49.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Iowa53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Iowa53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Iowa54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Iowa56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Iowa53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Vanderbilt42c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.062045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Vanderbilt45c42.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Vanderbilt47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Iowa53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Iowa53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7d…c01abacked Iowa52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x85c2…00f8backed Iowa50c37.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Iowa53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f5…353ebacked Iowa53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Iowa53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Iowa58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Iowa55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Iowa56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Iowa56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Iowa53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.574100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Iowa57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.99754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Iowa53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Iowa53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Iowa53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Iowa53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Iowa53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Iowa53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Iowa53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa51c25.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4291…b6bdbacked Iowa59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Vanderbilt48c24.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.772441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Vanderbilt48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Iowa52c22.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Iowa53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Vanderbilt48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Vanderbilt48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Iowa54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Iowa56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Iowa52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Iowa53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Iowa57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Iowa59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.