College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42de2c33151e6b75b6fe8e0b12c24cceb871466e895ecf38ef9b960ee549335e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 11,020$5,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.6 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Over | 53c | 10,908$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.72 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 9,301$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.11 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 48c | 6,802$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 47c | 4,833$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 3,007$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 48c | 485.42$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 205.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 46c | 162$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 51c | 85.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 85.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…753bbacked Over | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…c3c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 45.5this page
- Iowa vs. VanderbiltIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H MoneylineIowa won
- Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5Over won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.