TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over51c48,804$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,804.252763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c20,466$9,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,911.3958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under49c8,000$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8808749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under55c7,546$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.9552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9512746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1202564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c3,960$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.2562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Over47c3,764$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.843275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c3,589$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.212,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c3,369$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.6348546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under50c2,355$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.675345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Under55c2,208$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over42c2,101$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c1,357$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.3649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over57c726.18$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c583.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under64c389.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Over50c370.65$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.75339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under55c296.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9810346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over42c291.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.94052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eee…bc95backed Under53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over46c225$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.611764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c160.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.196051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over43c155$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7561…7320backed Under52c144.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over42c141.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1428440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over51c125.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.781145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over26c125.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0312346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Over45c119$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4703…ce7fbacked Over30c114.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.712020%4 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed Under43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-80.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over39c103.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Under58c90.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under57c86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.02825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over45c81.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Over43c77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Over46c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.421866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c72.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Over43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+59.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over43c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under70c54.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.414833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under56c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Under55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11dc…f4dcbacked Under45c45.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Under45c44.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Under53c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Under57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Under57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Over43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Under55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Under53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba7c…38c7backed Over47c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Under54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Under54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bc…ae37backed Over34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1acc…35b7backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Under57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Under54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Under57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Over50c22.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Under57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Under57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Under57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Under55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Under57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.