TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$572,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$636,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under52c157,895$82,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,794.793348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c108,057$51,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,864.4512055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00016955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c88,326$42,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,396.619359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under52c83,198$43,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,934.843737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c57,546$29,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,817.624143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c52,899$27,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,391.3231240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Under51c34,444$17,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,877.532030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Over48c25,200$12,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,095.983863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.985154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed Over50c14,122$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c12,467$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,358.179447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c10,174$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,945.451,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c8,999$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.5251352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over63c7,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41019651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Over49c6,848$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.743351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf2…d27abacked Over49c6,077$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9403148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Under49c5,773$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.446100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over63c4,603$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under51c4,530$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.6917647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over48c4,400$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c4,283$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.0854451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.155149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c3,600$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under50c3,310$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.35860.3%35 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.754261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over48c2,644$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.12231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Over48c2,107$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over49c2,040$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.493240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd748…2125backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.959754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c1,725$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.2526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,644$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.8265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Over49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over49c1,500$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c1,268$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.251,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Over49c1,188$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c1,029$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4943740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over49c877.55$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under50c802$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39213959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over50c700$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3496246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under51c665.21$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.953253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over48c625.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4712151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9219651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Under52c534.8$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.084161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over52c513.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.523148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…007bbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked Under51c496.73$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c464.56$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8139447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under52c462.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5420542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c431.59$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19618745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c3…3242backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc66…caf0backed Over49c393.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under53c378.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0921151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Over63c350$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.411353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under39c344.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Over48c336$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.285343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Over49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c305.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6613756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over48c271.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.314553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6b…4fa8backed Over49c267.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c250$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.936238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Under52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3814347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over13c209.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0710537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6950…86a1backed Over48c207$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Over49c202.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4710434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over50c201.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.65354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.