NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Eagles: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe8b04b27cf174faeb45fff7e069ea3f3f676f80dd9bfa116aa0b77201da624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof 49ers, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Eagles | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 35c | 9,996$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.66 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed 49ers | 38c | 2,761$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.26 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed 49ers | 35c | 1,910$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Eagles | 70c | 1,886$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eagles | 63c | 1,880$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.69 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Eagles | 65c | 1,548$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.75 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed 49ers | 38c | 1,223$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed 49ers | 13c | 1,179$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Eagles | 66c | 760.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…57dcbacked Eagles | 74c | 604.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Eagles | 75c | 570.05$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles | 63c | 499.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Eagles | 55c | 404.27$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Eagles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e283backed 49ers | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Eagles | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 49ers | 34c | 328$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked 49ers | 20c | 203.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…8107backed Eagles | 63c | 158.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 49ers | 25c | 130.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Eagles | 58c | 106.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed 49ers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eagles | 66c | 86.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…ebe1backed Eagles | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 49ers | 27c | 64.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed 49ers | 29c | 60.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Eagles | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 49ers | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Eagles | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked 49ers | 36c | 42.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Eagles | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Eagles | 64c | 38.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…6792backed 49ers | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…94b3backed Eagles | 67c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eagles | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-3.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Eagles49ers won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 45.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5Under won
- 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5Under won
- Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)49ers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)49ers won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)49ers won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)49ers won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.