CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a01e717e841d1e0a4023b45d9635ed481b96cd690960d1bc56e4514bddcbbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof FURIA, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Legacy | 22c | 9,021$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,036.67 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Legacy | 24c | 8,443$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.29 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed FURIA | 78c | 6,426$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.28 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FURIA | 76c | 5,555$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.8 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 44c | 2,688$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.43 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Legacy | 38c | 2,415$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.7 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed FURIA | 48c | 2,092$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.44 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA | 67c | 1,988$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.11 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FURIA | 79c | 1,930$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.66 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Legacy | 52c | 1,715$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Legacy | 42c | 1,426$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 62c | 1,338$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked FURIA | 57c | 1,079$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FURIA | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed FURIA | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Legacy | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA | 79c | 895.78$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.95 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 78c | 823.5$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Legacy | 34c | 799.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FURIA | 76c | 639.01$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.03 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy | 54c | 623.61$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FURIA | 76c | 485.29$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA | 77c | 434.78$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Legacy | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…64ddbacked FURIA | 78c | 397$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed FURIA | 49c | 351.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 55c | 267$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed FURIA | 58c | 259.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed FURIA | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Legacy | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed FURIA | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked FURIA | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 78c | 179.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FURIA | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Legacy | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed FURIA | 74c | 116.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked FURIA | 66c | 109.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked FURIA | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…2812backed FURIA | 63c | 70.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Legacy | 21c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Legacy | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Legacy | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed FURIA | 55c | 36.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked FURIA | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed FURIA | 68c | 21.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…2a78backed FURIA | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed FURIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.