NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb915fd2d3b52ec1c760e48e83e8f3791da2304751b244c428d9a42590e08f0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 53c | 35,000$18,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,650 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 12,594$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.28 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 9,952$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 5,846$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.54 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 49c | 5,837$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.12 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 51c | 5,485$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.49 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 5,142$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…cddfbacked Under | 49c | 4,164$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,126$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Under | 50c | 3,971$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…318abacked Under | 49c | 3,627$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 50c | 2,856$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.89 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 46c | 2,422$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.88 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 48c | 1,380$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.36 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…0849backed Over | 51c | 1,023$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…e974backed Over | 51c | 1,023$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…9f6bbacked Under | 49c | 878$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce2…77d4backed Over | 51c | 863$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…70cdbacked Over | 51c | 863$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 50c | 831.35$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.79 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…5f70backed Under | 49c | 821$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…a38abacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…8015backed Over | 51c | 763$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…c274backed Under | 49c | 732$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…14f0backed Over | 51c | 671$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…32aebacked Over | 51c | 642$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…bdf6backed Over | 51c | 632$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…8041backed Under | 49c | 584$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…8cf2backed Over | 51c | 566$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 46c | 560.86$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.86 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…4542backed Over | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…d8e1backed Over | 51c | 512$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…2bdfbacked Under | 49c | 505$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…08e6backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…c28fbacked Over | 51c | 423$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…7bb5backed Over | 51c | 392.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec3…6ed4backed Under | 50c | 392.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…6225backed Over | 51c | 340$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Under | 75c | 265.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 261$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…917fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…b623backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…1e92backed Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…9e11backed Over | 51c | 152$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 139.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Under | 50c | 75.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Under | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…9c83backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…9cdfbacked Over | 51c | 44.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…b348backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…0566backed Under | 52c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.