NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37427b01811ef9a4c8e9ecfb4caef60de2f5bfcbe5258cae840201a0a168235c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 40c | 2,908$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.12 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 59c | 2,839$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.98 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 1,719$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.83 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 1,659$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.53 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,035$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 61c | 995.73$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.11 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 746.72$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 61c | 443$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.23 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 390.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Under | 62c | 325$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…0566backed Under | 61c | 162.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 68c | 146.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 114.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 53c | 114.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…3ba6backed Under | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Lakers vs. Trail BlazersLakers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.