TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fa6…c286backed Over51c3,143$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d1…461ebacked Over51c2,987$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f5…044fbacked Over51c2,984$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…2babbacked Over51c2,513$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under45c2,430$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.7176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc906…9169backed Under49c2,402$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa272…caeabacked Under48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d25…47b7backed Under49c2,067$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb6…d44ebacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d69…70c3backed Under49c1,677$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c1,652$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573b…cdbbbacked Over51c1,603$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b15…cc30backed Over53c1,388$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…e90cbacked Over53c1,383$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Under49c1,380$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b2…cbe8backed Under49c1,288$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ff…ae92backed Over51c1,260$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97aa…7881backed Over51c1,254$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5c2…ede2backed Under49c1,203$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1144…e1c3backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ac…17bdbacked Under47c1,126$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.22825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9e…70cebacked Over51c1,087$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.63875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7321…0eb7backed Under49c1,019$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x822c…a2fcbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf8…5fb6backed Under47c987$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50d7…b32dbacked Under49c945$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Under54c889.09$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.130053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…155fbacked Under49c817$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15b…8be2backed Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa796…b816backed Under47c728$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91a0…852dbacked Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb62…9d75backed Over51c697$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b79…ec6abacked Under49c690$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d9…74f9backed Under49c688$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf738…c2f3backed Under49c687$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5358…8a78backed Under49c677$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over40c665.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5941848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4171…9bcbbacked Under49c658$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f92…cc7dbacked Under47c655$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed84…e889backed Under49c635$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34e3…5c3bbacked Over53c627$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b55…d625backed Under49c625$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x583f…8a4fbacked Over53c621$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa46…00b1backed Under49c617$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…885dbacked Over51c610$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Under56c600.52$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb7…935cbacked Under49c567$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…a538backed Under49c553$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e50…c337backed Under47c523$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0515…f99ebacked Under49c522$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a04…5027backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1d24backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b0…3183backed Over51c494$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2da…450cbacked Over51c460$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cf…4197backed Over51c455$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c9…ae1abacked Over51c439$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…91aabacked Under49c423$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ba…59fbbacked Under49c422$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…6891backed Under49c421$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05dc…37a7backed Over51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f2…4b20backed Over51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Under61c380$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.82050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…20a3backed Under49c367$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4418…0a93backed Over51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f0…b02dbacked Under49c339$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29af…76f1backed Under49c319$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9515…da75backed Under49c314$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fad…246dbacked Over51c289$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c257.59$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.252,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…c362backed Over51c254$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…35adbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc281…b231backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…171abacked Over51c178$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…cbfdbacked Over51c153$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…6fcabacked Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe6…22d8backed Over51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.05850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8255…7cc9backed Over51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…c2c0backed Over51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9feb…e464backed Over51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…f7f1backed Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7da…89b2backed Over51c116$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe042…5e6bbacked Under60c115.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5657444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…c056backed Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…c8f3backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…dbf0backed Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed Under60c53.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324060%24 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6319451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac9…2d01backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8617350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.097746.8%36 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over54c25.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5180148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.