TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Trail Blazers, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9827…eed2backed Trail Blazers53c4,369$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers56c3,321$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.481,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1d24backed Trail Blazers53c3,100$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x822c…a2fcbacked Lakers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9502…6d3cbacked Lakers47c2,813$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Lakers44c2,779$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.782,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c2…ede2backed Trail Blazers53c2,566$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd4…11b4backed Lakers47c2,232$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…70cebacked Lakers47c2,057$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97aa…7881backed Trail Blazers53c1,866$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x074e…78f2backed Lakers47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers55c1,710$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…155fbacked Lakers47c1,593$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b79…ec6abacked Trail Blazers53c1,534$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd15b…8be2backed Lakers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x91a0…852dbacked Trail Blazers53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers54c1,382$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.0276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b15…cc30backed Trail Blazers53c1,380$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb62…9d75backed Lakers47c1,308$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ac…17bdbacked Trail Blazers53c1,303$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.59825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x573b…cdbbbacked Trail Blazers53c1,299$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ff…ae92backed Trail Blazers53c1,288$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers46c1,287$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.332,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…e90cbacked Lakers47c1,236$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa46…00b1backed Lakers47c1,169$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Lakers49c1,133$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.654454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…885dbacked Trail Blazers53c1,129$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c9…ae1abacked Trail Blazers53c1,084$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc906…9169backed Trail Blazers53c1,013$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…cbfdbacked Lakers48c1,004$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d6…64d0backed Trail Blazers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d25…47b7backed Trail Blazers53c980$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca76…e5b2backed Lakers47c965$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f53…0855backed Trail Blazers53c964$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ba…59fbbacked Lakers47c963$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50d7…b32dbacked Lakers47c951$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf738…c2f3backed Lakers47c915$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f5…044fbacked Trail Blazers52c912$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…8a78backed Lakers47c877$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7321…0eb7backed Lakers48c851$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8e…b07fbacked Trail Blazers53c849$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7067…9ababacked Lakers47c848$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.444100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a04…5027backed Lakers47c830$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Trail Blazers53c810$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…65b4backed Trail Blazers53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ed5…6fcabacked Trail Blazers53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dc…37a7backed Trail Blazers53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2da…450cbacked Lakers47c780$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cf…4197backed Lakers47c760$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8d…35adbacked Lakers47c743$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…8a4fbacked Lakers47c724$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf8…5fb6backed Trail Blazers53c722$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.66911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fa6…c286backed Trail Blazers53c722$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f2…4b20backed Trail Blazers53c720$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8370…171abacked Lakers47c707$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f92…cc7dbacked Lakers47c698$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29af…76f1backed Lakers47c681$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2167…9150backed Trail Blazers53c676$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e3…5c3bbacked Lakers47c656$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b55…d625backed Lakers47c654$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4171…9bcbbacked Lakers47c653$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed84…e889backed Lakers47c645$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers47c641.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.262,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb7…935cbacked Lakers47c635$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe6…22d8backed Lakers47c628$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.84850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1144…e1c3backed Trail Blazers53c540$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac9…2d01backed Lakers47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…20a3backed Lakers48c527$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9feb…e464backed Trail Blazers54c524$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0515…f99ebacked Lakers47c522$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0423…359bbacked Lakers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Lakers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2555437%20 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00ce…c8f3backed Lakers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4418…0a93backed Lakers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x649a…f7f1backed Trail Blazers53c478$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d69…70c3backed Trail Blazers53c472$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…a538backed Lakers47c467$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d1…461ebacked Trail Blazers52c466$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9515…da75backed Lakers47c433$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5632…c2dabacked Lakers48c431.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Trail Blazers53c413.67$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.288347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…2babbacked Trail Blazers53c392$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa796…b816backed Lakers47c388$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Trail Blazers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005653.6%30 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…c2c0backed Trail Blazers53c375$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d9…74f9backed Trail Blazers53c366$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6b2…cbe8backed Trail Blazers53c364$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f0…b02dbacked Trail Blazers54c347$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…6891backed Trail Blazers53c316$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec1…f01dbacked Trail Blazers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e50…c337backed Trail Blazers53c297$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers47c266$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…7cc9backed Trail Blazers53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cf…c056backed Trail Blazers53c214$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed Trail Blazers51c206.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.255442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9112…c740backed Trail Blazers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b0…3183backed Lakers47c185.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Trail Blazers53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fad…246dbacked Trail Blazers53c134$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fcc…dbf0backed Trail Blazers54c133$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.