College Football · resolved market
California vs. Louisville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d20aa03c9d5d29611d2232e78f9f68a6003ef8168ffcae2470bb85e33d344b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Californiaof California, Louisville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed California | 11c | 55,515$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,408.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed California | 10c | 23,399$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,141.18 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Louisville | 70c | 10,475$7,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,308.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed California | 22c | 10,211$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.77 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed California | 32c | 9,177$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.75 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Louisville | 80c | 6,120$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 77c | 5,228$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.54 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed California | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed California | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed California | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked California | 28c | 4,353$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.88 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed California | 21c | 3,695$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Louisville | 57c | 3,443$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.73 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked California | 33c | 3,428$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.57 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California | 24c | 2,796$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.07 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed California | 29c | 2,531$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.13 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville | 61c | 2,396$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.39 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Louisville | 78c | 1,997$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.75 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed California | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville | 58c | 1,743$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.56 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked California | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.71 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 32c | 1,469$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked California | 10c | 1,468$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.02 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed California | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked California | 7c | 1,400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California | 39c | 1,092$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.62 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked California | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked California | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Louisville | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed California | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed California | 13c | 894.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed Louisville | 42c | 889.77$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Louisville | 56c | 871$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Louisville | 61c | 845.18$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…73b7backed Louisville | 68c | 683.29$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed California | 11c | 650$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed California | 11c | 605$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Louisville | 62c | 595.43$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.17 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked California | 29c | 574$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked California | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed California | 18c | 550$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked California | 28c | 532.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed California | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed California | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefb…c767backed California | 10c | 485$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California | 35c | 457.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Louisville | 46c | 425.52$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked California | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed California | 10c | 399.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed California | 53c | 375.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed California | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Louisville | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked California | 23c | 288.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed California | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…e393backed California | 11c | 252$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed California | 11c | 250$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 33c | 220.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked California | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed California | 11c | 194$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed California | 11c | 190.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed California | 10c | 185.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed California | 10c | 180$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…444bbacked California | 44c | 171.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California | 37c | 162.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked California | 9c | 140$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Louisville | 61c | 138.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Louisville | 49c | 137.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked California | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked California | 11c | 130.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked California | 27c | 114.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked California | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed California | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked California | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Louisville | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed California | 59c | 84.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Louisville | 45c | 72.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed California | 27c | 70.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…b170backed California | 35c | 56.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed California | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Louisville | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Louisville | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed California | 33c | 43.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed Louisville | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed California | 31c | 41.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…ace3backed Louisville | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Louisville | 68c | 36.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…99c7backed Louisville | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked California | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…cd8bbacked Louisville | 67c | 30.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…c6bdbacked Louisville | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Louisville | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…ec96backed Louisville | 73c | 21.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Louisville | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California vs. Louisvillethis page
- California vs. Louisville: O/U 49.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Louisville (-18.5)California won
- Spread: Louisville (-19.5)California won
- Spread: Louisville (-20.5)California won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.