NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3cb3268c89acf56e5efbe7c2a0a63b01cc5e0e4c0805a7106327a1d9fd4b0e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Cardinals, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $895,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $932,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cardinals | 18c | 116,069$20,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,892.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Cardinals | 18c | 114,912$20,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,684.24 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Cardinals | 17c | 64,951$11,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,241.69 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Cardinals | 19c | 52,632$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Cardinals | 19c | 50,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 18c | 28,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals | 4c | 16,704$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.16 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Cardinals | 3c | 15,404$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.07 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Cardinals | 12c | 11,500$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.01 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Cardinals | 19c | 11,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 2c | 10,360$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cardinals | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 4c | 9,368$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.64 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 19c | 7,213$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.02 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cardinals | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…2471backed Cardinals | 8c | 4,273$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Cardinals | 0c | 3,242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Cardinals | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cardinals | 7c | 2,844$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cardinals | 7c | 2,598$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,514$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,365$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cardinals | 15c | 2,001$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…5925backed Cardinals | 18c | 1,958$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Cardinals | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Cardinals | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Cardinals | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Cardinals | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Cardinals | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 7c | 1,283$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cardinals | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cardinals | 9c | 1,099$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cardinals | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cardinals | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Cardinals | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cardinals | 18c | 940.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Cardinals | 6c | 771.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…7810backed Cardinals | 2c | 700.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +70%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cardinals | 4c | 661.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Cardinals | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Cardinals | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eab…b026backed Cardinals | 20c | 507.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Cardinals | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Cardinals | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed Cardinals | 3c | 413.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 18c | 410.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Cardinals | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Cardinals | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cardinals | 8c | 369.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Cardinals | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…d3e6backed Cardinals | 19c | 358.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Cardinals | 19c | 355.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Cardinals | 6c | 352.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Cardinals | 19c | 342.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Cardinals | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Cardinals | 7c | 255$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Cardinals | 19c | 242.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…e2e0backed Cardinals | 19c | 229.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cardinals | 18c | 212.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Cardinals | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Cardinals | 15c | 201.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Cardinals | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Cardinals | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cardinals | 5c | 195.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…789fbacked Cardinals | 19c | 187.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Cardinals | 18c | 166.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Cardinals | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…4d7cbacked Cardinals | 18c | 154.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Cardinals | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texans | 78c | 135.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…7ca5backed Cardinals | 10c | 133.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Texans | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Cardinals | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…41a3backed Cardinals | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Cardinals | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Cardinals | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Cardinals | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cardinals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cardinals | 19c | 99.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…77debacked Cardinals | 19c | 91.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Cardinals | 18c | 86.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Cardinals | 20c | 86.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cardinals | 20c | 69.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Texans | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…9701backed Texans | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…ea0abacked Cardinals | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cardinals | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed Cardinals | 19c | 55.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…c351backed Texans | 80c | 50.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…ff84backed Cardinals | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Texans | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Texansthis page
- Cardinals vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 42.5Over won
- Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Texans (-10.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-19.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-7.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-9.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.