Olympics · resolved market
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4735f6e896b3fb25faf0ee7bbc548f11908161c1640bd6fa82179b4ff8c6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 20c | 99,125$19,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,676.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed No | 26c | 72,180$18,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,550.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 76c | 51,378$38,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,825.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 80c | 42,266$33,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,683.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 26c | 10,234$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,868.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 20c | 9,891$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,948.47 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed No | 23c | 7,911$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked Yes | 3c | 5,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 80c | 4,244$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed No | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…8139backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 18c | 3,600$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…01bdbacked Yes | 75c | 3,253$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes | 76c | 2,810$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 20c | 2,788$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.53 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 26c | 2,714$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…3e76backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 17c | 1,810$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked No | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 30c | 1,531$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…388dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,324$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 75c | 1,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed No | 27c | 1,006$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…6cbabacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a694backed Yes | 76c | 991.52$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…654dbacked Yes | 75c | 933.21$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…cc90backed Yes | 78c | 869.6$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Yes | 73c | 847.98$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 18c | 825.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 18c | 823.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.02 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…092fbacked Yes | 79c | 775.11$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed No | 25c | 766.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 74c | 749.99$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 72c | 697.5$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…1d02backed Yes | 72c | 686.12$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 79c | 630.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 79c | 589.88$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed No | 19c | 523.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbb7backed No | 18c | 477.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 18c | 449.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.73 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…f21fbacked No | 17c | 417.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +496.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yes | 75c | 412.17$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…a634backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0786backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 72c | 338.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 27c | 338.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 79c | 312.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…99ccbacked No | 27c | 300$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…acecbacked No | 26c | 291.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b93…843abacked Yes | 75c | 281.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…4e0fbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…d541backed No | 19c | 267.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked No | 28c | 266.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…1771backed No | 19c | 260$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked No | 29c | 257.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Yes | 75c | 241.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked No | 26c | 229.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed Yes | 76c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed No | 25c | 196.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c18…e81dbacked No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…f28dbacked Yes | 75c | 192$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 27c | 181.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 28c | 181.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 73c | 173.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…194abacked No | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04d…c60abacked Yes | 75c | 153.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…081bbacked Yes | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…f344backed No | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…cf33backed No | 21c | 145.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…83e2backed No | 29c | 140.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…a31dbacked Yes | 75c | 137.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…f97dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…6954backed No | 29c | 133.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…41dfbacked Yes | 73c | 132.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…d07fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked No | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 23cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79e…eac5backed Yes | 75c | 126.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Yes | 75c | 119.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?this page
- Will Andre De Grasse (CAN) win Gold in 200m?No won
- Will Erriyon Knighton (USA) win Gold in 200m?No won
- Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m?No won
- Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 200m?Yes won
- Will Zharnel Hughes (GBR) win Gold in 200m?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in 200m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.