TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Jets, Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,385,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,541,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,385,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Jets13c401,511$50,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,732.7617041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Jets7c105,315$6,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.5310026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets12c100,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jets12c100,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00016836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Jets12c99,656$11,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,958.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Jets12c99,587$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,950.467939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Jets12c40,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jets13c25,517$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.2147348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Jets12c17,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0404944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Jets13c12,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5606349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Jets4c10,181$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.451723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jets12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets13c7,420$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2553348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Jets13c6,512$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.522638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jets14c5,983$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5119651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Jets13c4,415$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5749135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb9…3defbacked Jets14c4,375$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked Jets13c4,124$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets13c4,065$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4231854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets0c3,921$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.324311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Jets12c3,600$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44114443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets10c3,597$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets13c3,000$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6848847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Jets7c2,930$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…3891backed Jets13c2,743$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Jets15c2,742$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets1c2,457$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.66980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…226abacked Jets1c2,210$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Jets2c2,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jets12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403225%8 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jets13c2,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jets13c1,850$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.57041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19522446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Jets7c1,381$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Jets8c1,285$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004922.4%11 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets4c1,284$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.061486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Jets1c1,232$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464918.4%9 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jets12c1,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4127633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Jets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Jets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a43…2fcebacked Jets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Jets13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets12c835$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.255345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Jets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Jets13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Jets13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eab…b026backed Jets14c718.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jets4c700$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets3c659.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Jets9c644.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Jets8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506540%26 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jets7c555.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.028737.9%33 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Jets10c506.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Jets12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1d…e3c3backed Jets17c460$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.41421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Jets6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253941%16 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked Jets14c401.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.622934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets3c393.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c77…6282backed Jets13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets12c372.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Jets12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets12c330$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Jets12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Jets12c291.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jets12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Jets13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cf…7f5dbacked Jets9c218.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Jets5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Jets12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Jets14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Jets12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jets12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Jets6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123030%9 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f67…77debacked Jets13c170.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jets12c166.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.134652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Jets13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Jets13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4896…fe47backed Jets13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Jets13c151.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Jets10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jets17c144.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.258129.6%24 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets16c127.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9716045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Jets12c121.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518350.3%92 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc70d…9125backed Jets12c115$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e54…42ecbacked Jets13c106.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Jets13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff72…2207backed Jets13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Jets12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Jets12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Jets13c99.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9927835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaf…e2e0backed Jets12c90$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars74c89.26$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Jaguars78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.413065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.