NFL · resolved market
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49afa52297c7155abf547b6209073c6103429e17d8e6c7a74c843f2308a7f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Jets | 50c | 126,207$63,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,147.65 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 51c | 88,550$45,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,389.38 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 50c | 55,987$27,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,765.87 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 50c | 43,768$22,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,757.16 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets | 49c | 28,487$14,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars | 52c | 23,516$12,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,376.02 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jaguars | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jaguars | 46c | 15,403$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,317.37 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars | 50c | 12,870$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.82 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Jets | 49c | 11,186$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.1 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Jets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Jaguars | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Jets | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars | 50c | 6,012$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.09 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Jaguars | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaguars | 50c | 3,836$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.72 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Jaguars | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,316$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.32 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Jets | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 50c | 869.42$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.71 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Jaguars | 50c | 800.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.23 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Jets | 49c | 699.62$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Jets | 43c | 691.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jaguars | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars | 50c | 521.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.57 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Jets | 49c | 502.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Jaguars | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Jaguars | 52c | 480.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jaguars | 51c | 479.37$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Jets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jaguars | 47c | 392.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Jets | 49c | 332.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Jaguars | 52c | 232.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…3575backed Jets | 49c | 209$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…7971backed Jaguars | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…6ff7backed Jaguars | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…377fbacked Jets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed Jaguars | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Jaguars | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…3a31backed Jets | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…cf90backed Jaguars | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jets | 48c | 157.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Jaguars | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jaguars | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Jets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d1a9backed Jets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Jaguars | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Jaguars | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Jaguars | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Jaguars | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Jaguars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Jaguars | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jaguars | 57c | 85.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Jaguars | 52c | 84.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Jaguars | 52c | 80.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Jaguars | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…3272backed Jaguars | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Jets | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…ff81backed Jaguars | 51c | 61.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Jets | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jaguars | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…42ecbacked Jaguars | 53c | 44.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Jets | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Jaguars | 52c | 41.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Jets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…a5acbacked Jaguars | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Jets | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Jaguars | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9693backed Jaguars | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Jaguars | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Jets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7f…0b18backed Jaguars | 52c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Jaguars | 48c | 32.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jaguars | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9969backed Jets | 50c | 28.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Jaguars | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Jaguars won
- Jets vs. JaguarsJaguars won
- Jets vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineJaguars won
- Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5Over won
- Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 41.5Over won
- Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5Over won
- Jets vs. Jaguars: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.