TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Jaguars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Jets50c126,207$63,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,147.658747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jaguars51c88,550$45,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,389.3827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets50c55,987$27,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,765.8786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars50c43,768$22,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,757.1647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets49c28,487$14,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,075.292653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars52c23,516$12,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,376.0253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jaguars51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jaguars46c15,403$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,317.3756852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars50c12,870$6,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.821,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Jets49c11,186$5,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,481.17939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Jets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jaguars48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Jets49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars50c6,012$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.0937350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jets50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Jaguars52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9207051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jaguars50c3,836$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.7250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Jaguars52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4407464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Jaguars48c2,316$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.324837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe796…7f5ebacked Jets50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Jaguars52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.694259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars50c869.42$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Jaguars50c800.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.2310547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Jets49c699.62$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7218744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Jets43c691.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Jaguars52c640.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.385949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26428447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars50c521.14$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Jets49c502.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2465345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24526648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jaguars46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27019439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Jaguars52c480.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.034551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jaguars51c479.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c77…6282backed Jets49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jaguars47c392.04$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7827644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Jets49c332.65$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Jaguars52c232.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.943070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe251…3575backed Jets49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ed…7971backed Jaguars52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba5…6ff7backed Jaguars52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Jaguars50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcad3…377fbacked Jets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63e3…8876backed Jaguars52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Jaguars52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…3a31backed Jets49c175$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bac…cf90backed Jaguars52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jets48c157.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7423647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Jaguars52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.925444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jaguars50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Jets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…d1a9backed Jets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Jaguars51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Jaguars51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Jaguars52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Jaguars52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aad…18f4backed Jaguars52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Jaguars52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Jaguars53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jaguars57c85.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4648847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Jaguars52c84.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6710256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Jaguars52c80.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.733953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Jaguars52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb66…3272backed Jaguars71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Jets49c67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8320354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0662…ff81backed Jaguars51c61.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Jets49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jaguars48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9935648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e54…42ecbacked Jaguars53c44.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Jets48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.163953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Jaguars52c41.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.95341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Jets49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…a5acbacked Jaguars51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3c…7efbbacked Jets49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Jaguars52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4618843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9693backed Jaguars52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0a…a3b9backed Jaguars53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Jets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7f…0b18backed Jaguars52c37.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Jaguars48c32.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jaguars50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Jets49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa990…9969backed Jets50c28.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1470%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Jaguars52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.