TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons31c3,856$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.995,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders69c3,047$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.951,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c1,034$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.681,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons17c800$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.81,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders58c547.87$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.542,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons17c251$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6713227.3%36 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…a3adbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons55c243.15$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons29c203.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders63c170.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.372334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons20c148$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons18c135$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.357448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a13…2054backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons21c116.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons18c112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1665825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons39c104.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.064,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons12c100.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons33c95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders60c88.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3310536.2%38 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders80c56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23231.3%10 W · 22 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders59c52.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons28c43.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons38c39.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.931338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c35.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders61c32.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.835444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c20.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.943923.1%9 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders70c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.937254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.