College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. Rice
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524ec02da556d8832bae0da963269e58baeafce32ec59ee86e004012f074298d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof North Texas, Rice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rice | 9c | 86,976$7,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,827.86 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Rice | 9c | 60,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rice | 9c | 13,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Rice | 11c | 9,092$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rice | 9c | 7,158$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.19 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rice | 11c | 6,551$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.56 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rice | 10c | 2,281$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rice | 1c | 2,109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice | 10c | 1,950$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Rice | 12c | 1,800$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rice | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rice | 14c | 1,373$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rice | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rice | 11c | 856.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Rice | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rice | 12c | 804.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Rice | 11c | 763.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Texas | 78c | 550.88$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…5742backed Rice | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rice | 10c | 478.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…adecbacked Rice | 13c | 474$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rice | 21c | 470$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rice | 18c | 463.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rice | 10c | 461.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Rice | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…e829backed Rice | 11c | 452$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Rice | 31c | 427.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…53fabacked Rice | 11c | 381.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rice | 10c | 237.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rice | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rice | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Rice | 7c | 183.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Rice | 31c | 178.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Rice | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Rice | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rice | 11c | 157.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rice | 10c | 157$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed North Texas | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…329fbacked Rice | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…daeebacked Rice | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Rice | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rice | 32c | 150.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rice | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…950bbacked Rice | 11c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…f69abacked Rice | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…ed13backed Rice | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rice | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Rice | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…cd47backed Rice | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…f98dbacked Rice | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Rice | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed North Texas | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rice | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed North Texas | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. Ricethis page
- North Texas vs. Rice: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-17.5)North Texas won
- Spread: North Texas (-18.5)North Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.