Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Tulane Green Wave
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9731de705985f971d942b53c89a0968de1cf5d341acac18943334098ef00d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 23,600$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,305.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Tulane Green Wave | 12c | 14,636$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.31 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 12,370$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah State Aggies | 70c | 5,647$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.48 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 19c | 5,112$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.38 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Utah State Aggies | 69c | 4,374$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.99 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah State Aggies | 70c | 3,790$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 3,323$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.66 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 2,728$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.68 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 2,602$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.81 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 2,148$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 1,576$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Utah State Aggies | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah State Aggies | 70c | 1,266$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.24 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tulane Green Wave | 14c | 888.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Tulane Green Wave | 15c | 822.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 614$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tulane Green Wave | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 12c | 408.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Tulane Green Wave | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 329$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Tulane Green Wave | 13c | 310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulane Green Wave | 21c | 308.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Utah State Aggies | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah State Aggies | 71c | 283.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Tulane Green Wave | 15c | 272.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 252.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Tulane Green Wave | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…9484backed Tulane Green Wave | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…a3adbacked Tulane Green Wave | 41c | 172.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 161.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tulane Green Wave | 14c | 145.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Utah State Aggies | 76c | 139.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…76d8backed Tulane Green Wave | 12c | 114.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Tulane Green Wave | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 87.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 81.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7352…e156backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 77.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tulane Green Wave | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 57.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Utah State Aggies | 80c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…3acdbacked Utah State Aggies | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Utah State Aggies | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Utah State Aggies | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Tulane Green Wavethis page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-11.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.