Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d68da83e82d0a21ddbdd79666d0e07946d4c3d5fe929761a16ad8ef66fb126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas State Wildcatsof Kansas State Wildcats, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kansas State Wildcats | 74c | 2,954$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.2 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15c | 2,708$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 2,404$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 1,202$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 73c | 608.58$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 556.06$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 524$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 435.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 383.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 76c | 299.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 179.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kansas State Wildcats | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 58c | 141$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 133.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 115.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 101.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 57c | 88.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 47c | 83.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 57c | 70.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Kansas State Wildcats | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 62.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 58.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 53.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 46.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas State Wildcats | 55c | 39.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…1893backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…1e89backed Kansas State Wildcats | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…8eb1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 62c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.