Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17603eef4c7f8b380799d127ce2e2b3d03f626f510e87c866e90a5995865ae7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 51c | 24,947$12,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,285.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 13,202$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.16 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 3,658$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.47 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 6c | 2,280$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.09 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 62c | 1,993$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.84 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 1,708$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.73 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 57c | 1,460$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.15 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 61c | 1,214$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 16c | 1,101$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 5c | 1,032$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 9c | 800$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 656$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 55c | 610.83$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 34c | 482.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 458.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 7c | 454.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 399.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 9c | 382.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 7c | 220$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 29c | 175.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…a28ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 38c | 106.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 20c | 73.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 60c | 53.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…68febacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 61c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 58c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.