Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88b1ede70559834dc67a4d468a71d487c3b6110f217bb49e4828e567ae3b97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Air Force Falconsof SIUE Cougars, Air Force Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 1,906$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Air Force Falcons | 48c | 1,322$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed SIUE Cougars | 39c | 1,116$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Air Force Falcons | 67c | 709.51$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…33c7backed SIUE Cougars | 17c | 641.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed SIUE Cougars | 41c | 581.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force Falcons | 39c | 556.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…5055backed Air Force Falcons | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Air Force Falcons | 42c | 459.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Air Force Falcons | 41c | 454.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed SIUE Cougars | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Air Force Falcons | 43c | 275$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Air Force Falcons | 59c | 267.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked SIUE Cougars | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SIUE Cougars | 57c | 215$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Air Force Falcons | 64c | 178.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Air Force Falcons | 77c | 161.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked SIUE Cougars | 57c | 159$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Air Force Falcons | 43c | 151.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Air Force Falcons | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Air Force Falcons | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked SIUE Cougars | 44c | 114.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Air Force Falcons | 43c | 114.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Air Force Falcons | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Air Force Falcons | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed SIUE Cougars | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SIUE Cougars | 41c | 78.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked SIUE Cougars | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Air Force Falcons | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Air Force Falcons | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Air Force Falcons | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed SIUE Cougars | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked SIUE Cougars | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed SIUE Cougars | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Air Force Falcons | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed SIUE Cougars | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falconsthis page
- SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 131.5Over won
- SIUE Cougars vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 132.5Over won
- Spread: SIUE Cougars (-3.5)Air Force Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.