Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa447339451098a308a7d5ad55ba8b8e8d1926b9c21122d37862f1059c30abc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Kansas State Wildcats, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 7,886$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.26 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 6,875$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 3,918$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 52c | 646.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.83 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 435.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 306.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47c | 299.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kansas State Wildcats | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas State Wildcats | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 84.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 76.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 56c | 50.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 69c | 43.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 31c | 40.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.