College Football · resolved market
Missouri State vs. Kennesaw State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129fb1051f9970f0f6b1648b6e63229fc996e37558b0c1bd1bc72250935656aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Missouri State, Kennesaw State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 36,260$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259.54 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Missouri State | 31c | 24,998$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.48 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Missouri State | 38c | 8,355$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri State | 31c | 5,580$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.89 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kennesaw State | 58c | 4,431$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.58 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Kennesaw State | 75c | 4,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 1,934$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.41 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Missouri State | 33c | 1,848$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.09 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…56abbacked Missouri State | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…11f6backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 1,818$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Missouri State | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Missouri State | 32c | 1,186$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.66 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Missouri State | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Missouri State | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Missouri State | 31c | 983.55$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State | 32c | 821$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…1b78backed Missouri State | 33c | 663.64$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kennesaw State | 67c | 655.23$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kennesaw State | 55c | 470.07$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Missouri State | 32c | 439.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Missouri State | 25c | 395.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Missouri State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Kennesaw State | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Missouri State | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Missouri State | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kennesaw State | 63c | 277.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…cec9backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 270$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Missouri State | 17c | 253.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri State | 25c | 249.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Kennesaw State | 65c | 247.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…94b6backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State | 51c | 191.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Missouri State | 33c | 185.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…9293backed Missouri State | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Missouri State | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State | 32c | 162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Missouri State | 26c | 160.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774b…1034backed Missouri State | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Kennesaw State | 68c | 159.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…83e5backed Missouri State | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Missouri State | 33c | 120.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kennesaw State | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Missouri State | 27c | 110.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Missouri State | 68c | 110.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Missouri State | 33c | 100.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Missouri State | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…5fe4backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Kennesaw State | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…c360backed Missouri State | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Kennesaw State | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Kennesaw State | 56c | 83.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri State | 32c | 78.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Missouri State | 60c | 72.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kennesaw State | 76c | 69.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Kennesaw State | 64c | 66.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kennesaw State | 67c | 53.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kennesaw State | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Missouri State | 32c | 48.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Kennesaw State | 70c | 44.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…5fcfbacked Missouri State | 33c | 38.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…f9c6backed Kennesaw State | 68c | 35.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Kennesaw State | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Missouri State | 44c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Kennesaw State | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…9998backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…da6dbacked Kennesaw State | 69c | 26.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…f9dfbacked Kennesaw State | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kennesaw State | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kennesaw State | 65c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…b388backed Missouri State | 57c | 18.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Kennesaw State | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…8dc6backed Kennesaw State | 69c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State vs. Kennesaw Statethis page
- Missouri State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 54.5Over won
- Missouri State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-6.5)Kennesaw State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.