Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. BYU Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf306e507bfc46d82f4d5fb1ee5e2a655aefa3a3b9bc499a38824ef5561d49e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Wisconsin Badgers, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars | 68c | 7,323$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed BYU Cougars | 65c | 5,787$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 4,110$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 11c | 3,807$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…aff8backed BYU Cougars | 71c | 3,246$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +487.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 12c | 1,354$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 31c | 855.18$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.34 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 824.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 746$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 29c | 742.65$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 480$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Wisconsin Badgers | 11c | 441.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 430.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 28c | 352.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Wisconsin Badgers | 7c | 346.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed BYU Cougars | 68c | 325$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 232.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 10c | 216.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wisconsin Badgers | 29c | 178$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…6b2abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 155.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…380cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 110.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed BYU Cougars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars | 69c | 81.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 64.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed BYU Cougars | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed BYU Cougars | 78c | 52.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…1994backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 48.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…9094backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 40.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…4c0abacked BYU Cougars | 68c | 38.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…9568backed BYU Cougars | 66c | 34.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…3b03backed BYU Cougars | 66c | 29.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…10f7backed BYU Cougars | 66c | 28.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. BYU Cougarsthis page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-4.5)BYU Cougars won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 164.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 165.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.