NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad3c100f5e3152c6d4fbb553e086a8d71432c4df1448539aa15daa8042cce23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Islanders, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Flyers | 25c | 22,732$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,068.2 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 78c | 19,210$14,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,930.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 52c | 18,528$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.84 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Islanders | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 48c | 16,634$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.54 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flyers | 52c | 16,452$8,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,972.51 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Islanders | 64c | 12,084$7,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,697.76 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flyers | 52c | 10,795$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.54 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Islanders | 49c | 10,186$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.9 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.63 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Islanders | 49c | 8,149$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.19 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Flyers | 43c | 5,554$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.01 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers | 51c | 5,236$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.62 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 33c | 4,337$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Islanders | 67c | 3,660$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.49 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 65c | 2,923$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.86 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Islanders | 47c | 2,921$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.66 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Flyers | 53c | 2,906$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Islanders | 71c | 2,902$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.19 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Flyers | 24c | 2,512$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.97 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 48c | 2,097$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.56 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…5500backed Flyers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…b8a4backed Islanders | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Islanders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Flyers | 37c | 1,785$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.91 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,565$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flyers | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.22 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 28c | 1,280$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Islanders | 49c | 1,236$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 47c | 1,232$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 52c | 1,204$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.08 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 28c | 1,182$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,174$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Flyers | 52c | 1,101$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.48 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Islanders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 39c | 1,040$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Islanders | 70c | 1,038$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Islanders | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Flyers | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Flyers | 53c | 981.13$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Islanders | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Islanders | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 52c | 746$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 53c | 677.34$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 47c | 595.82$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Flyers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Flyers | 53c | 564.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flyers | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…32a0backed Flyers | 53c | 545.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Flyers | 53c | 532.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Flyers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Islanders | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…7745backed Islanders | 64c | 435.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Islanders | 51c | 394.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Flyers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Islanders | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Flyers | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 51c | 315.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…d53ebacked Islanders | 48c | 314.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Flyers | 22c | 313.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Flyers | 32c | 312$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 46c | 311.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flyers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Islanders | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Islanders | 71c | 273.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Islanders | 48c | 272$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Islanders | 47c | 264.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…96a0backed Islanders | 48c | 253.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Islanders | 47c | 229.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers | 31c | 225$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Islanders | 61c | 221.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Flyers | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…84a6backed Islanders | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Islanders | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Flyers | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Islanders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5315…0753backed Islanders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Flyers | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Islanders | 75c | 190$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Flyers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Islanders | 48c | 173.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Islanders | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Islanders | 48c | 162.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Flyers | 50c | 159.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…c669backed Flyers | 52c | 148.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Flyers | 54c | 141.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 45c | 136.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Flyers | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…982dbacked Islanders | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…f84cbacked Flyers | 53c | 122$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…9125backed Flyers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Flyers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Islanders | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Flyers | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…a6e2backed Islanders | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Flyersthis page
- Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.