College Football · resolved market
California vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf1be28fe36433b67f5c8c7ac045aa58c8365a9b269f86abc302e2e1105e256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Techof California, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,941,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,942,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,941,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed California | 35c | 1,023,412$353,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353,828.21 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 284,682$185,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,040.02 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 160,594$105,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,291.46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 150,000$97,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,800 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked California | 39c | 145,324$55,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,975.95 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia Tech | 61c | 85,787$52,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,090.66 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 66,000$42,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 60,000$39,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,599.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed California | 34c | 59,988$20,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,663.74 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked California | 34c | 58,000$19,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,610.43 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia Tech | 64c | 52,794$33,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,167.53 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed California | 60c | 51,034$30,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,620.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 45,491$30,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,282.61 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed California | 26c | 43,297$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.44 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…ab2abacked California | 36c | 41,681$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 39,000$25,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,380 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 38,000$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 32,086$21,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,011 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Virginia Tech | 72c | 25,770$18,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 20,781$13,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.12 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Virginia Tech | 64c | 20,389$13,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,339.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Virginia Tech | 40c | 18,376$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,025.62 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed California | 64c | 17,150$11,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 16,475$10,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.5 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia Tech | 44c | 16,362$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,088.68 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 15,555$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.14 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 14,464$9,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.64 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech | 56c | 12,625$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.21 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 11,556$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Virginia Tech | 57c | 11,257$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 11,000$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 10,325$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 10,237$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.47 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Virginia Tech | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 8,444$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 8,402$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech | 48c | 6,921$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.45 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed California | 34c | 5,612$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed California | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked California | 21c | 4,825$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.45 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 4,245$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.4 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 4,129$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 4,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 3,933$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.19 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Virginia Tech | 66c | 2,950$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 2,920$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Virginia Tech | 53c | 2,777$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.88 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 2,626$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.8 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 2,304$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.32 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 2,293$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 2,250$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.67 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked California | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Virginia Tech | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Virginia Tech | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed California | 32c | 1,640$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.77 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 1,581$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…2360backed California | 33c | 1,580$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed California | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia Tech | 29c | 1,366$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.78 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked California | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Virginia Tech | 64c | 1,265$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California | 21c | 1,208$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed California | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Virginia Tech | 57c | 1,189$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Virginia Tech | 64c | 1,164$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Virginia Tech | 31c | 1,135$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.5 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked California | 71c | 1,018$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.43 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed California | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Virginia Tech | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed California | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Virginia Tech | 67c | 999.84$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Virginia Tech | 48c | 989.49$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech | 64c | 957.98$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9ce2backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 894.13$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…8009backed California | 26c | 884.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed California | 23c | 800$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Virginia Tech | 50c | 774.94$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech | 54c | 760$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.45 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Virginia Tech | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Virginia Tech | 58c | 750$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Virginia Tech | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed California | 36c | 710.06$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia Tech | 60c | 708.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech | 59c | 703.54$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed California | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Virginia Tech | 74c | 679.93$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 658.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.77 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Virginia Tech | 67c | 612$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…a1e6backed California | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…e956backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California vs. Virginia Techthis page
- California vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-4.5)Virginia Tech won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-5.5)Virginia Tech won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-6.5)Virginia Tech won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-7.5)Virginia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.