TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Virginia Tech (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Virginia Techof Virginia Tech, California
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb3…0a77backed Virginia Tech55c967.99$530 inWon+$437.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed California45c714.96$322 inLost-$321.7385947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed California45c404.57$183 inLost-$182.7734250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1498…a10bbacked California54c233.33$125 inLost-$1252846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Virginia Tech55c127.27$70 inWon+$57.2730253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Virginia Tech55c122.73$67 inWon+$55.234055%22 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech53c121.32$64 inWon+$572,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked California47c106.38$50 inLost-$5017450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…a079backed Virginia Tech55c96.36$53 inWon+$43.362552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…a2e2backed California46c65.22$30 inLost-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Virginia Tech49c63.5$31 inWon+$32.0875651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed California47c33.16$16 inLost-$15.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21aa…aa43backed Virginia Tech53c33.08$17 inWon+$15.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Virginia Tech55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.275154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22d…56bfbacked California53c19.81$10 inLost-$10.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-77.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.