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College Football · resolved market

Kansas State vs. Kansas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas Stateof Kansas State, Kansas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Kansas State39c145,778$56,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,924.7812549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Kansas61c136,051$83,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,210.6732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas39c55,217$21,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,369.9330949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Kansas State39c32,235$12,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,663.625141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Kansas State69c30,278$21,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,245.0227648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kansas State38c14,661$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,089.5293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Kansas61c14,515$8,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,854.034755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas42c14,286$6,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.7668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas State75c4,636$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.6640541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State39c4,436$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.122,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kansas State70c3,450$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.223751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas State39c2,733$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.1222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Kansas State70c2,728$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.795352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kansas State40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9919120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Kansas60c2,250$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.3834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Kansas30c1,845$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2411844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kansas60c1,776$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.764163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Kansas State40c1,754$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.574746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kansas State39c1,554$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.2115252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x544c…ce36backed Kansas State40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Kansas61c1,344$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Kansas61c1,250$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.57448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Kansas State79c1,142$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kansas61c1,122$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4229249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kansas State38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62075651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Kansas State56c998.33$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2710555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Kansas State43c952$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.6434250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Kansas State40c937.5$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Kansas68c888.09$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State70c760.07$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6562943.6%274 W · 355 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…af87backed Kansas61c750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc24…df47backed Kansas State40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+83.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas State27c700$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State56c615.54$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Kansas State76c594.73$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.742548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Kansas State67c570$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.67856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…b17abacked Kansas25c538.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.892661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Kansas65c535.83$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas61c532$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05eb…fe56backed Kansas State40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kansas State39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…c28cbacked Kansas61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…34a6backed Kansas State40c491$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kansas27c430$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas State70c373$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e1…293abacked Kansas State67c357.92$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kansas7c300.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Kansas State38c300$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kansas59c255.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9638546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas5c255$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45814.9%4 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…bcb9backed Kansas61c253.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Kansas33c248.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.458627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2f…4bfcbacked Kansas61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe4…6032backed Kansas61c244.26$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x825d…5082backed Kansas State41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kansas60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Kansas61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kansas State38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12428032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Kansas State38c190.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.897041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Kansas58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas State38c164$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Kansas61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Kansas61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Kansas State67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas57c128.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1649443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Kansas State39c125$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2521629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Kansas50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Kansas36c123.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.818447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Kansas61c115.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.627749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas60c114$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed Kansas47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…f088backed Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f3…f6bebacked Kansas State40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506f…9629backed Kansas State40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c61…9875backed Kansas State40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bf…29f4backed Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad3…44c1backed Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ba…68bebacked Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6112755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b3…b4c1backed Kansas State40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+128.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2c…9c7bbacked Kansas61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f14…35b1backed Kansas State40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Kansas61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…7d31backed Kansas State40c93.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Kansas61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…acc2backed Kansas61c76.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ba…70d8backed Kansas60c74.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a2…d4ddbacked Kansas61c72.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa811…7d4abacked Kansas State40c54.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Kansas39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kansas State68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Kansas60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Kansas State40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Kansas State40c49.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.765036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Kansas61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.451850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Kansas State66c39.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6cd8backed Kansas State40c38.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2b…3df8backed Kansas61c38.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…25e3backed Kansas61c37.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.