NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70eac4e2b255c1ea7a8f4924b9b7c86ce24f38ce948a9f9f6343c141d9cbb2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,610,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,707,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 10c | 342,645$34,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,601.83 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 11c | 214,038$23,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,544.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards | 11c | 77,210$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.96 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 10c | 60,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Wizards | 13c | 39,012$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards | 2c | 31,761$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.64 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 2c | 31,722$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 10c | 28,251$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.1 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 4c | 20,599$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Wizards | 3c | 20,211$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 10c | 15,710$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 14,864$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 4c | 10,771$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 10c | 10,200$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 1c | 10,158$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Wizards | 5c | 9,638$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 11c | 7,273$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 1c | 7,270$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 12c | 7,140$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.63 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Wizards | 4c | 6,876$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 0c | 6,830$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 9c | 6,525$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.75 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 1c | 5,119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Wizards | 12c | 5,115$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.82 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 16c | 4,891$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Wizards | 2c | 4,818$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Wizards | 5c | 3,866$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 3,625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Wizards | 6c | 3,600$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 4c | 3,193$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Wizards | 10c | 3,033$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,880$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 3c | 2,801$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 11c | 2,792$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.09 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a850backed Wizards | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wizards | 11c | 2,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 2c | 2,391$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Wizards | 3c | 2,242$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Wizards | 9c | 2,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 1c | 2,012$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wizards | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…8652backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Wizards | 15c | 1,997$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Wizards | 7c | 1,973$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,956$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,750$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…a995backed Wizards | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wizards | 2c | 1,496$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 3c | 1,430$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…adfdbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Wizards | 15c | 1,272$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…ee40backed Wizards | 10c | 1,219$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Wizards | 3c | 1,212$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…b2b8backed Wizards | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…7343backed Wizards | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Wizards | 4c | 1,086$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…15f1backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…5b71backed Wizards | 3c | 994.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +528.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Wizards | 3c | 945.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wizards | 13c | 942.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…ca3fbacked Wizards | 5c | 936.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Wizards | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…be86backed Wizards | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 14c | 892.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…61b6backed Wizards | 7c | 868.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aff…411fbacked Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…70d2backed Wizards | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Wizards | 10c | 785.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Wizards | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked Wizards | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Wizards | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed Wizards | 3c | 630$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…186fbacked Wizards | 3c | 614.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 13c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7c5fbacked Wizards | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Wizards | 10c | 585.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Wizards | 3c | 561.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Wizards | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…7e0dbacked Wizards | 2c | 501.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Wizardsthis page
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.