NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047f0ae27bdb1ebe071f379a274de28e0a2b8e9a86101683d350438dbcf82d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Spurs, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Wizards | 51c | 223,428$112,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,492.1 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 49c | 125,360$61,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,426.45 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Wizards | 49c | 15,681$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.07 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs | 50c | 11,679$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.42 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 52c | 10,900$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 52c | 10,888$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 50c | 9,209$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 50c | 6,528$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 50c | 6,130$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Spurs | 52c | 5,241$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.3 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 51c | 4,507$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Spurs | 52c | 4,125$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 50c | 3,872$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 51c | 3,787$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Spurs | 51c | 3,125$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.53 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Spurs | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.06 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 52c | 2,632$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,275$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 49c | 2,170$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.96 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 50c | 2,045$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 50c | 1,921$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 49c | 845.46$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Spurs | 8c | 798$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Wizards | 50c | 609$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Spurs | 53c | 425$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Spurs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 51c | 259$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Wizards | 48c | 208.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Spurs | 50c | 205.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Wizards | 27c | 143$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Spurs | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Spurs | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Wizards | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs | 53c | 122.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Spurs | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Spurs | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs | 49c | 83.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Spurs | 52c | 77.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Spurs | 71c | 77.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Spurs | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Wizards | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Spurs | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Wizards | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Wizards | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Spurs | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Wizards | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Spurs | 53c | 29.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 48c | 27.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Spurs | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Spurs | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 49c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wizards | 51c | 21.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…3fb7backed Spurs | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…becabacked Spurs | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spurs vs. WizardsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.