NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fe758f6364089da6c2c5fdb0c810d2bf7e92360963a05bc51a3c5a88490846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 51c | 78,641$40,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,534.09 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 36,030$17,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,654.6 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 52c | 28,433$14,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,720.1 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 22,414$11,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,317.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 13,320$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.92 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 9,139$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 5,404$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 52c | 4,360$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 51c | 3,953$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.18 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 2,016$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 46c | 1,769$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.35 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 56c | 1,500$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 53c | 1,388$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.36 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,146$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 975.71$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.36 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 51c | 898.04$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 820$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 780$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 51c | 747.06$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 50c | 638.03$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 325.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 78c | 230.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 124.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Over | 69c | 103.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 95.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 88.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 63c | 49.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 51c | 49.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 47.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Over | 50c | 45.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 48c | 36.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…6b43backed Over | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f374backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spurs vs. WizardsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.