TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

South Florida vs. Memphis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Memphisof South Florida, Memphis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Memphis34c52,288$17,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,436.4632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed South Florida66c42,717$28,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,079.0534250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked South Florida48c34,714$16,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,655.2768440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Memphis20c22,586$4,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,052.1249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Memphis51c12,850$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.2485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Memphis37c10,371$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,506.2993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed South Florida51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed South Florida66c7,707$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.715141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed South Florida59c5,532$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.3764841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked South Florida79c4,663$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.1230949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Memphis44c4,410$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.1162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked South Florida61c4,088$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.5811248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Memphis39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.9952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed South Florida68c3,393$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.0327648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Florida65c2,788$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.2849253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked South Florida66c2,700$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b6…3eacbacked Memphis34c2,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Florida63c2,660$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.5440541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed South Florida64c2,250$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.6834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Memphis20c2,168$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.563243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed South Florida64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2802245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Memphis32c1,892$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.9186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked South Florida67c1,529$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.65352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b39…0d7ebacked South Florida66c1,381$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…85afbacked Memphis35c1,380$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+147%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed South Florida74c1,285$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.1610555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Memphis47c1,251$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1423751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked South Florida60c1,163$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0420450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked South Florida60c1,150$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6902646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked South Florida68c1,030$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.483953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…1c7cbacked South Florida57c1,015$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked South Florida65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65075651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed South Florida52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.183030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed South Florida65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed South Florida62c897.4$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.3911653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked South Florida65c839$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3517361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed South Florida61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Memphis33c719.37$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.041,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Memphis45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Memphis45c637.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Memphis34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39622437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked South Florida65c593.8$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc24…df47backed Memphis34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+83.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64ec…af87backed South Florida67c588$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Memphis34c508$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed South Florida65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Memphis33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33525629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed South Florida61c490.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis38c477.88$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Memphis38c470$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.41560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Memphis57c437.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.938348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…6e97backed South Florida47c427.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed South Florida61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24411142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed South Florida55c389.33$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed South Florida72c387$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0211844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Memphis36c351.63$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.392,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed South Florida54c350$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.257856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed South Florida65c329.43$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.135754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Memphis30c320$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.73036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed South Florida66c310$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.67846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Memphis34c299.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4917634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Memphis36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.786558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a65…8ab3backed South Florida54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Memphis34c220.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.597445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e1…293abacked South Florida47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Memphis50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0612042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Memphis39c202.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Memphis35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7924…a7b0backed Memphis76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Memphis37c193$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5920757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17bd…7afcbacked Memphis33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Florida77c179.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Memphis33c154.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8456844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked South Florida66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed South Florida64c137.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8821629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Memphis35c135.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd6…6202backed Memphis40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Memphis18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8a…dba0backed South Florida67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…b736backed Memphis34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+58.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…b256backed South Florida67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…be58backed Memphis34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed South Florida62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Memphis47c83.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.685641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked South Florida60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Memphis35c83.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.128032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed South Florida66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1bb…c285backed Memphis31c72.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.034656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed South Florida61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30d…0f56backed Memphis17c64.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.661833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ef…1be5backed Memphis34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Memphis35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.145036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed South Florida67c52.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa794…e7d8backed Memphis39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ba…70d8backed Memphis35c50.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked South Florida65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.524157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Memphis40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc084…a34fbacked Memphis40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Memphis41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Memphis34c47.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.