TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: South Florida (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Memphisof South Florida, Memphis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Memphis54c9,291$5,003 inWon+$4,287.4332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed South Florida46c4,551$2,093 inLost-$2,093.4685947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked South Florida49c2,000$986 inLost-$985.577136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida54c1,536$829 inLost-$829.386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked South Florida46c1,300$598 inLost-$5986440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida47c1,003$469 inLost-$469.112,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Memphis52c1,000$520 inWon+$48026147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked South Florida48c1,000$480 inLost-$48011844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Memphis52c770$400 inWon+$369.622437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked South Florida45c400$180 inLost-$18047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed South Florida50c200$100 inLost-$10010347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Memphis55c100$55 inWon+$457332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked South Florida47c95$45 inLost-$44.6575651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed South Florida44c90$40 inLost-$39.664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Memphis69c20$14 inWon+$6.310757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.