TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,438 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a35…c104backed Celtics53c10,000$5,300 inLost-$5,300.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfeb…620bbacked Knicks47c9,990$4,695 inWon+$5,294.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks49c3,000$1,470 inWon+$1,53080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics55c2,804$1,542 inLost-$1,542.0966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics56c2,230$1,259 inLost-$1,259.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics56c1,365$765 inLost-$764.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks39c1,250$488 inWon+$762.547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Celtics51c1,000$510 inLost-$51010459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Celtics51c1,000$510 inLost-$51058951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c971$437 inWon+$534.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Celtics56c838.61$470 inLost-$469.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Knicks44c838.61$369 inWon+$469.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks45c717.95$323 inWon+$394.872,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Knicks49c678.04$329 inWon+$348.612,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Knicks45c637$286 inWon+$351.4141848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks45c584$261 inWon+$323.066,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks39c381.04$149 inWon+$232.4371052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3dd…6477backed Knicks40c132.45$53 inWon+$79.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc92…ace4backed Celtics63c130.33$82 inLost-$82.11520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Knicks47c79.42$37 inWon+$42.0912143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks44c73.36$32 inWon+$41.253,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Knicks41c27.13$11 inWon+$16.011,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Celtics63c23.81$15 inLost-$155358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.