TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,039 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc10…3f05backed Celtics50c20,000$10,000 inLost-$10,0009650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Knicks50c6,004$3,002 inWon+$3,002.1530053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inWon+$2,5001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Celtics52c4,620$2,400 inLost-$2,4001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics51c3,000$1,530 inLost-$1,5301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks51c2,929$1,499 inWon+$1,429.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks49c2,903$1,416 inWon+$1,486.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks50c2,529$1,266 inWon+$1,263.2671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks50c2,108$1,059 inWon+$1,049.0565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Celtics48c1,240$601 inLost-$600.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks48c1,000$480 inWon+$52080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bff…6f0cbacked Knicks49c1,000$490 inWon+$5102540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Knicks52c1,000$520 inWon+$4802520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon+$480.398936%32 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Knicks53c630.19$334 inWon+$296.1916837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Knicks52c600$312 inWon+$28843247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Knicks51c500.09$253 inWon+$247.0418142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks50c468.39$234 inWon+$234.22,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks52c450$234 inWon+$21667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Knicks50c300$150 inWon+$15027547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks49c279$138 inWon+$1418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c2…6e3ebacked Knicks50c200$100 inWon+$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Celtics50c200$100 inLost-$10018239%71 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Knicks53c200$106 inWon+$946636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc659…e925backed Knicks50c183.64$92 inWon+$91.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics47c116.52$55 inLost-$55.053,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Celtics51c98$50 inLost-$49.9866153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Celtics53c50$27 inLost-$26.538151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Knicks50c40$20 inWon+$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Celtics52c38.46$20 inLost-$205644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Knicks50c30$15 inWon+$151758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Knicks51c20$10 inWon+$9.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.