MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068c37c9b4ce10d1906a62fcd4ea97d8d2045362b20f7ebf2d28db311a941dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,599.82 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 39,000$23,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,009.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 32,374$12,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,298.39 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…6762backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 31,117$12,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,486.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 30,716$18,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,372.17 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 27,221$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 25,168$10,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,597.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 19,076$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.7 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 18,520$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 16,557$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.69 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.93 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 12,744$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,518.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 12,744$7,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 8,999$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 7,479$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 7,236$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.01 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 7,174$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.41 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 6,757$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 6,642$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.13 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 6,519$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.53 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 6,470$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 6,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 5,550$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 5,070$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 5,001$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 4,332$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.41 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 4,263$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 3,750$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 3,283$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,067$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.19 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,941$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.46 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,745$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 2,666$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.87 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 2,456$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.59 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,352$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 2,351$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.97 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,977$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.51 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,814$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 1,635$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.17 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,612$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,517$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.18 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,420$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,401$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.67 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,374$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,250$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.74 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,069$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,007$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 952.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 900.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 892.69$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 881.03$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…2d94backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 799$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 767.48$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc7…eae4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 760$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 746.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 728.32$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.71 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 711.1$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…f0c8backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 706.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…c481backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 649.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 619.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 617.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…b358backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 595$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 582.95$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 554.07$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 541.69$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 541.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 513.33$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 510.16$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 510$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 479.66$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 474.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.91 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 468.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 450$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 437.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 431.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 425$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 419.91$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…73cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 410.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 397.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.