TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over47c37,470$17,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,610.6955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under54c17,822$9,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,151.252,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Over45c13,196$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.142766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c10,995$5,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.3511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c6,705$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.84,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c5,374$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.891,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under57c3,474$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.0933554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c2,857$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c2,685$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,139$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.134,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c1,610$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under51c1,555$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.951,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,399$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under53c1,342$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.861,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c1,066$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.841,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,026$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.869,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over48c944$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1225249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c917.65$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439c…8a28backed Under53c850.23$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.615100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c840$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.42,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2887259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0413354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over39c557.74$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.529147.3%43 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23051449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22524651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c435.55$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6661450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c397$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.591,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c361.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.558,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over44c330.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.428,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over43c307.3$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.533,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13858652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c290.07$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.378,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Over40c210.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1920745.9%95 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over47c207.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8990446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over46c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6838455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c172.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.365,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c165$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9410459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6229242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c123.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.561,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.244949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under73c114.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.685,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under53c107.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5619550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9225034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over27c86.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.342,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over48c68.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7958649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under54c67.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1931258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over46c65.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under53c60.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3813148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6962554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over40c57.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over48c53.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9140554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2217953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under45c48.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7387750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over46c47.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Under53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.736860.3%41 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over44c37.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4655643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over44c37.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0425448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under53c37.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46459.4%38 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under53c31.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over35c30.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6734754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under55c30.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5110252%53 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ef…0172backed Under50c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.873060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.796445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c25.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Under53c22.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over45c22.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1334846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over48c21.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912957.4%74 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.484,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.762,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.