MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1774058d95d8a4e3c77f144e0099384acf685d6428dd230a8b2720d1bb05d0b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 37,470$17,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,610.69 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 17,822$9,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Over | 45c | 13,196$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 10,995$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 6,705$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 5,374$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.89 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 57c | 3,474$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.09 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,857$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,685$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 2,139$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,610$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,399$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 53c | 1,342$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 1,066$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.84 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,026$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 48c | 944$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.12 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 51c | 917.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.65 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed Under | 53c | 850.23$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 840$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 557.74$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 435.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 397$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 361.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 330.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 307.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 290.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Over | 40c | 210.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 207.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 172.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 123.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 114.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 53c | 107.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 27c | 86.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 48c | 68.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 67.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 46c | 65.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 40c | 57.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 48c | 53.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 45c | 48.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 46c | 47.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 44c | 37.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 37.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 53c | 31.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 35c | 30.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 55c | 30.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Under | 53c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.