NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4accc5eacdb9b2c82838354fc07540aae1f11773d01547ba26b280bdf696f303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Ducks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Lightning | 63c | 61,496$38,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,753.65 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 37c | 44,779$16,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,568.05 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 37c | 35,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lightning | 63c | 21,371$13,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.44 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 64c | 15,156$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.03 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 63c | 8,995$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.15 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 62c | 8,978$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Ducks | 38c | 8,853$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 39c | 7,666$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.7 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 79c | 7,480$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Ducks | 38c | 6,553$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.08 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 37c | 6,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 37c | 5,859$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.79 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 65c | 4,786$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.18 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 37c | 4,688$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.24 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lightning | 62c | 3,225$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.49 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Ducks | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Ducks | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Lightning | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Lightning | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Ducks | 36c | 2,845$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.53 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 36c | 2,515$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.48 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 62c | 2,312$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.44 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 61c | 2,244$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Lightning | 65c | 2,054$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.94 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ducks | 37c | 1,679$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.57 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lightning | 75c | 1,594$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…2c29backed Ducks | 38c | 1,323$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Lightning | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Ducks | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Ducks | 8c | 1,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Ducks | 25c | 1,016$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 32c | 999.82$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.65 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 17c | 929.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 35c | 851.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Ducks | 35c | 774$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Ducks | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 35c | 764.17$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Ducks | 37c | 729.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 63c | 724$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ducks | 41c | 719.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Ducks | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Lightning | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Ducks | 29c | 699.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 67c | 662.8$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 4c | 662.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks | 35c | 588.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 34c | 564.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Ducks | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 37c | 501$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 63c | 464.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 63c | 443.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Lightning | 67c | 433.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 50c | 402.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 41c | 400.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…b93dbacked Ducks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Ducks | 12c | 368$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Lightning | 63c | 333$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Ducks | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Lightning | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked Ducks | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 7c | 299.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ducks | 36c | 290.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Ducks | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ducks | 36c | 279.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…9a1abacked Ducks | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…d00fbacked Ducks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Lightning | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…84a6backed Ducks | 37c | 261.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Ducks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Ducks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Lightning | 65c | 231.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…4adcbacked Lightning | 64c | 225$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Ducks | 37c | 209.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Lightning | 64c | 209.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Ducks | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ducks | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…cc16backed Ducks | 18c | 199.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Ducks | 25c | 181.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Ducks | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Ducks | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Lightning | 63c | 157.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Lightning | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lightning | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…13d8backed Ducks | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Lightning | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Lightningthis page
- Ducks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.