NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c1d53c0f06882e6ed69a23711f6e82a2a905474ba554ceeea74af4f8b4cd4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 67,181$32,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,169.33 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 52c | 44,365$23,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,069.75 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 52c | 28,180$14,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,626.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 20,498$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Penguins | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 16,090$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.69 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Penguins | 51c | 15,000$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,624.9 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 11,388$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.23 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 10,267$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.87 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Penguins | 53c | 10,169$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.81 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.35 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 7,575$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.22 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 7,136$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.47 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 52c | 7,010$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.19 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,302$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.24 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Penguins | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Penguins | 53c | 3,500$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.65 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 77c | 2,244$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.12 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Penguins | 24c | 1,615$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 1,461$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.05 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,430$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.9 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Blue Jackets | 2c | 1,225$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.27 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,211$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.87 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 1,018$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 10c | 940.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Penguins | 52c | 939$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 54c | 932.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…2c29backed Penguins | 57c | 884.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 51c | 844.94$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Penguins | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 774$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.22 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…ed5fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 770$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…9732backed Penguins | 53c | 770$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins | 52c | 765.33$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 739.13$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 715.9$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 68c | 711.35$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Penguins | 54c | 700$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 692$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 588.82$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.96 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…2aecbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 569.81$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…44babacked Penguins | 53c | 569.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…c022backed Penguins | 53c | 543.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…45a1backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 543.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 519$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.46 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penguins | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Penguins | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 436.84$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Penguins | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…d780backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 393.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…61ebbacked Penguins | 53c | 393.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 54c | 392$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…2392backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 383.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…4adabacked Penguins | 53c | 383.02$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Penguins | 53c | 380.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…ab1dbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 372.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…57e2backed Penguins | 53c | 372.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…a55abacked Penguins | 53c | 362.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…a98fbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 362.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…2267backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Penguins | 54c | 322.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 317.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 313.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…ac0cbacked Penguins | 53c | 294.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…cf4dbacked Penguins | 53c | 281.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Penguins | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…40a0backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 254.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Penguins | 54c | 220.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 213.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 207.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…0197backed Penguins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…489cbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…5193backed Penguins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…f407backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…6345backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa7…2838backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…0ed6backed Penguins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.