NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f6d1236f78166cdf510f6a311f9fc9902976aaa64a472e69f41b6bff1a07ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Sabres, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 41c | 21,623$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,940.43 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 16,846$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.67 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sabres | 42c | 15,003$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.03 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Sabres | 45c | 14,027$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.3 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 44c | 13,054$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 11,314$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.25 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 9,917$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.2 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 40c | 8,558$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.31 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 8,098$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.68 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 43c | 7,985$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.62 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 40c | 7,550$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 42c | 7,402$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.48 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 6,062$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.16 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 44c | 5,951$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sabres | 48c | 5,604$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.87 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 5,255$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sabres | 3c | 5,050$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,825$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.67 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Sabres | 43c | 3,693$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.02 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,553$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.73 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,260$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,239$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.08 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,917$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.98 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,804$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.85 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 44c | 1,557$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.77 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 42c | 1,529$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,478$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,439$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.52 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,414$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 60c | 1,391$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 47c | 1,287$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.06 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Sabres | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 42c | 1,041$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 46c | 1,009$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 888.45$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 844$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sabres | 44c | 843$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 730.27$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Sabres | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 682.4$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Sabres | 36c | 643.4$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…a98fbacked Sabres | 45c | 625$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…a55abacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 542.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.81 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sabres | 49c | 534.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 501.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Sabres | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sabres | 43c | 477$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 423.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Sabres | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres | 44c | 382.78$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 356$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 351.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 316.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sabres | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 57c | 281.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 260$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 242.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Sabres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 230$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Sabres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 209.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sabres | 42c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Sabres | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sabres | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…d527backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 174$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Sabres | 41c | 167.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sabres | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Sabres | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 126.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Sabres | 59c | 125.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Sabres | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 110.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Sabres | 41c | 108.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.