TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d75…5b0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$49.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$12.63
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$9.28
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landersbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landersbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39%+$70.77
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$7.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$21.87
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigersbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.3%+$46.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$22.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+72%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+287.6%+$30.92
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$27.99
Wizards vs. Rocketsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$229.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$209.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.