MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f4b4ec34b2bc2bc245a9f7fbd8b5359b7b5ceffd914e2326a4a1bbb68c0612a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof Doosan Bears, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 14c | 269$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed SSG Landers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 79c | 174.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 80c | 154.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 133$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed SSG Landers | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked Doosan Bears | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 43c | 43.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 40.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 42c | 28.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 28.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.