MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcf0a758b5c26c0e114ef6c64b2fc70b2d644af7bd633382e3aebd93442ff12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed SSG Landers | 49c | 638.85$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.2 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 570.09$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 35c | 426.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 38c | 396.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked SSG Landers | 44c | 289$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 201.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 153.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…8239backed SSG Landers | 48c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked SSG Landers | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 107.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 56c | 105.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 98.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 95.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed SSG Landers | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 60.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 54.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed SSG Landers | 43c | 53.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 48.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SSG Landers | 37c | 45.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 38c | 38.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 37.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SSG Landers | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 35.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…f8b2backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 26.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked SSG Landers | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…5b0dbacked SSG Landers | 69c | 21.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 18.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.